Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.417956 0.481270 0.550551 0.631934 0.724871 0.827643 0.949870
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.340537 0.429007 0.534327 0.668732 0.835490 1.035389 1.293026
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.279059 0.381768 0.513825 0.695534 0.938531 1.251709 1.685422
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.231177 0.341423 0.493638 0.718132 1.039682 1.482385 2.136785
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.196769 0.311991 0.481907 0.749035 1.156491 1.752261 2.686643
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.163786 0.277629 0.456204 0.754199 1.236102 1.981076 3.215028
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.141750 0.255649 0.444819 0.778352 1.347480 2.273263 3.884966
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.119031 0.227753 0.418410 0.772559 1.408283 2.493118 4.471934
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.103733 0.209765 0.405368 0.786751 1.504256 2.783949 5.220603
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.087185 0.186006 0.377454 0.768579 1.538321 2.970450 5.811402
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.079096 0.177273 0.376211 0.800380 1.670159 3.351795 6.813970
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.072797 0.170961 0.378510 0.839244 1.821229 3.789474 7.985108
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.063852 0.157330 0.363769 0.841321 1.900038 4.101232 8.961829
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.055837 0.144192 0.347775 0.837978 1.967032 4.399050 9.955120
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.049177 0.132905 0.333917 0.837011 2.039117 4.717962 11.040525
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.043774 0.123622 0.323062 0.841145 2.123472 5.075500 12.262930
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.039947 0.117649 0.319187 0.861550 2.249547 5.544500 13.805685
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.035416 0.108778 0.306358 0.857118 2.314140 5.879864 15.083190
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.032526 0.103941 0.303216 0.877385 2.444303 6.389715 16.852723
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.028769 0.095712 0.289342 0.866227 2.490732 6.700080 18.171192
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.026312 0.090940 0.284320 0.878923 2.603441 7.193722 20.026088
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.023052 0.082860 0.268163 0.856644 2.615672 7.428059 21.235482
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.021780 0.081093 0.270700 0.890525 2.793832 8.129854 23.797818